Huracán Polo (Cat 4)
Sin vigilancia/aviso oficial para BajaNo hay vigilancia ni aviso oficial para Baja en los datos actuales del NHC.
Polo tiene vientos sostenidos de hasta 240 km/h y avanza al ESE a 9 km/h.
Aviso de Polo actualizado:
Datos clave
- Tipo
- Huracán (Cat 4)
- Viento máximo sostenido
- 240 km/h
- Presión mínima
- 935 mb
- Movimiento
- ESE 9 km/h
- Distancia a BCS
- 1255 km
- Tipo
- Huracán (Cat 4)
- Viento máximo sostenido
- 240 km/h
- Presión mínima
- 935 mb
- Movimiento
- ESE 9 km/h
- Distancia a BCS
- 1255 km
Seguimiento de Polo
Polo | Huracán | Viento máx. 240 km/hPolo | Tipo Huracán | Viento máximo sostenido 240 km/h
Depresión Trop.Tormenta TropicalHuracánHuracán Mayor
Fuentes del mapa: Perspectiva de 7 días del NHCtrayectoria y cono del NHCviento NOAA GFS. Visualización de BajaStorms.
Gráficos oficiales
Gráfico de BajaStormsFuente: NOAA/NHC ATCF A-deck ↗
Guía construida: No es el pronóstico oficial del NHC
Cronología de avisos
Cronología de avisos #7
Hurricane Polo Advisory Number 7
Texto oficial del aviso del NHC
ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Hurricane Polo Advisory Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172026 300 AM CST Tue Sep 22 2026 ...POLO CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AND IS APPROACHING CATEGORY 5 STRENGTH... ...EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS... SUMMARY OF 300 AM CST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.6N 101.8W ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM S OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO ABOUT 345 MI...555 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 115 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...935 MB...27.61 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Tecpan de Galeana to Manzanillo, Mexico. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere along the southwestern Mexico coast should continue to monitor the progress of this system as additional watches and warnings could be necessary today. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM CST (0900 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Polo was located near latitude 14.6 North, longitude 101.8 West. Polo is moving toward the east-southeast near 6 mph (9 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue today, with a sharp turn toward the northwest and west-northwest anticipated tonight and Wednesday. On the forecast track, the core of Polo is expected to be near the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days, although forecast to remain offshore. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 150 mph (240 km/h) with higher gusts. Polo is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Continued rapid intensification is forecast, and Polo could become a Category 5 hurricane later today. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 935 mb (27.61 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Polo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2 and WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by early Wednesday. RAINFALL: Polo is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches, with isolated maximum totals up to 12 inches across coastal portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero and Michoacán through Thursday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. Rainfall of 3 to 6 inches is possible in coastal portions of Oaxaca, Colima, and Jalisco through Thursday. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Polo, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf SURF: Swells generated by Polo are expected to affect portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 600 AM CST. Next complete advisory at 900 AM CST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi NNNN
Fuente: NOAA / NHC
Cronología de avisos #6A
Polo rapidly strengthens to a category 4 hurricane.
Texto oficial del aviso del NHC
ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Hurricane Polo Intermediate Advisory Number 6A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172026 1200 AM CST Tue Sep 22 2026 ...POLO RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS TO A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 1200 AM CST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.7N 102.1W ABOUT 330 MI...530 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 210 MI...340 KM S OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 105 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Tecpan de Galeana to Manzanillo, Mexico. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere along the southwestern Mexico coast should continue to monitor the progress of this system as additional watches and warnings could be necessary today. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1200 AM CST (0600 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Polo was located near latitude 14.7 North, longitude 102.1 West. Polo is moving toward the east-southeast near 5 mph (7 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue today, with a sharp turn toward the northwest and west-northwest anticipated tonight and Wednesday. On the forecast track, the core of Polo is expected to be near the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days, although forecast to remain offshore. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts. Polo is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Continued rapid intensification is forecast over the next day or so, and Polo could become a potentially catastrophic Category 5 hurricane today or Wednesday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 955 mb (28.20 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Polo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2 and WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by early Wednesday. RAINFALL: Polo is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches, with isolated maximum totals up to 12 inches across coastal portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero and Michoacán through Thursday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. Rainfall of 3 to 6 inches is possible in coastal portions of Oaxaca, Colima, and Jalisco through Thursday. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Polo, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf SURF: Swells generated by Polo are expected to affect portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM CST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi NNNN
Fuente: NOAA / NHC
Cronología de avisos #6
Tropical storm watch extended northward to manzanillo.
Texto oficial del aviso del NHC
ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Hurricane Polo Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172026 900 PM CST Mon Sep 21 2026 ...POLO STILL RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING AND FORECAST TO BECOME A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE TOMORROW... ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO MANZANILLO... SUMMARY OF 900 PM CST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.0N 102.3W ABOUT 305 MI...495 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 190 MI...310 KM SSW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 105 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...964 MB...28.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has extended the Tropical Storm Watch from Punta San Telmo to Manzanillo, Mexico. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Tecpan de Galeana to Manzanillo, Mexico. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere along the southwestern Mexico coast should continue to monitor the progress of this system as additional watches and warnings could be necessary tomorrow. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 PM CST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Polo was located near latitude 15.0 North, longitude 102.3 West. Polo is moving toward the east-southeast near 5 mph (7 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue overnight, with a sharp turn toward the northwest and west-northwest anticipated late Tuesday into Wednesday. On the forecast track, the core of Polo is expected to be near or south of the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid intensification is forecast over the next day or so, and Polo is expected to become a major hurricane shortly, and a potentially catastrophic Category 5 hurricane by Wednesday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 964 mb (28.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Polo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2 and WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by early Wednesday. RAINFALL: Polo is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches, with isolated maximum totals up to 12 inches across coastal portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero and Michoacán through Thursday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. Rainfall of 3 to 6 inches is possible in coastal portions of Oaxaca, Colima, and Jalisco through Thursday. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Polo, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf SURF: Swells generated by Polo are expected to begin affecting portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico on Tuesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 1200 AM CST. Next complete advisory at 300 AM CST. $$ Forecaster Papin NNNN
Fuente: NOAA / NHC
Cronología de avisos #5A
Hurricane Polo Intermediate Advisory Number 5A
Texto oficial del aviso del NHC
ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Hurricane Polo Intermediate Advisory Number 5A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172026 600 PM CST Mon Sep 21 2026 ...POLO CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE ON TUESDAY... SUMMARY OF 600 PM CST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.2N 102.4W ABOUT 290 MI...470 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM SSW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Tecpan de Galeana to Punta San Telmo A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. The Tropical Storm Watch will likely be expanded westward later tonight. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 600 PM CST (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Polo was located near latitude 15.2 North, longitude 102.4 West. Polo is moving toward the east near 6 mph (9 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue tonight, with a sharp turn towards the northwest and west-northwest anticipated late Tuesday into Wednesday. On the forecast track, the core of Polo is expected to be near or south of the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid intensification is forecast over the next couple of days, and Polo is expected to become a major hurricane on Tuesday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 971 mb (28.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Polo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2 and WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by early Wednesday. RAINFALL: Polo is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches, with isolated maximum totals up to 12 inches across coastal portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero and Michoacán through Thursday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. Rainfall of 3 to 6 inches is possible in coastal portions of Oaxaca, Colima, and Jalisco through Thursday. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Polo, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf SURF: Swells generated by Polo are expected to begin affecting portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico on Tuesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM CST. $$ Forecaster Papin NNNN
Fuente: NOAA / NHC
Cronología de avisos #5
Noaa hurricane hunter aircraft shows Polo rapidly intensifying.
Texto oficial del aviso del NHC
ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Hurricane Polo Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172026 300 PM CST Mon Sep 21 2026 ...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT SHOWS POLO RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING... SUMMARY OF 300 PM CST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.1N 102.7W ABOUT 290 MI...465 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 195 MI...310 KM SSW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 110 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB...28.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Tecpan de Galeana to Punta San Telmo A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. The Tropical Storm Watch will likely be expanded westward later today or tonight. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM CST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Polo was located by a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft near latitude 15.1 North, longitude 102.7 West. Polo is moving toward the east-southeast near 6 mph (9 km/h). This general motion is expected tonight, with a sharp turn towards the northwest and west-northwest anticipated late Tuesday into Wednesday. On the forecast track, the core is Polo is expected to be near or south of the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Polo is expected to continue rapidly intensifying, becoming a major hurricane by Tuesday, with further intensification likely though midweek. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 974 mb (28.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Polo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2 and WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by Tuesday night or early Wednesday. RAINFALL: Polo is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches, with isolated maximum totals up to 12 inches across coastal portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero and Michoacán through Thursday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. Rainfall of 3 to 6 inches is possible in coastal portions of Oaxaca, Colima, and Jalisco through Thursday. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Polo, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf SURF: Swells generated by Polo are expected to begin affecting portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico on Tuesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 600 PM CST. Next complete advisory at 900 PM CST. $$ Forecaster Blake NNNN
Fuente: NOAA / NHC
Cronología de avisos #4A
Polo now a hurricane.
Texto oficial del aviso del NHC
ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Hurricane Polo Intermediate Advisory Number 4A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172026 1200 PM CST Mon Sep 21 2026 ...POLO NOW A HURRICANE... ...FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY OFFSHORE OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1200 PM CST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.3N 103.0W ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM SSW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 100 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Tecpan de Galeana to Punta San Telmo A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. The Tropical Storm Watch will likely be expanded westward later today or tonight. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1200 PM CST (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Polo was located by a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft near latitude 15.3 North, longitude 103.0 West. Polo is moving toward the east near 5 mph (7 km/h). A slow eastward or southeastward motion is expected through tonight. However, a sharp turn toward the west-northwest or northwest is expected by late Tuesday. On the forecast track, the core of Polo is expected to be near the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Polo is expected to continue to rapidly intensify, becoming a major hurricane by Tuesday, with further intensification likely though midweek. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km). The minimum central pressure based on NOAA Hurricane Hunter dropsonde data is 977 mb (28.85 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Polo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2 and WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by Tuesday night or early Wednesday. RAINFALL: Polo is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches, with isolated maximum totals up to 12 inches across coastal portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero and Michoacán through Thursday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. Rainfall of 3 to 6 inches is possible in coastal portions of Oaxaca, Colima, and Jalisco through Thursday. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Polo, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf SURF: Swells generated by Polo are expected to begin affecting portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico on Tuesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM CST. $$ Forecaster Blake NNNN
Fuente: NOAA / NHC
Cronología de avisos #4
Polo rapidly intensifying offshore of Mexico.
Texto oficial del aviso del NHC
ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Polo Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172026 900 AM CST Mon Sep 21 2026 ...POLO RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING OFFSHORE OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 900 AM CST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.4N 103.4W ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM SW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Tecpan de Galeana to Punta San Telmo A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. The Tropical Storm Watch will likely be expanded westward later today or tonight. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM CST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Polo was located near latitude 15.4 North, longitude 103.4 West. Polo is moving toward the east near 5 mph (7 km/h). A slow eastward or southeastward motion is expected through tonight. However, a sharp turn toward the west-northwest or northwest is expected by late Tuesday. On the forecast track, the core of Polo is expected to be near the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Polo is expected to continue to rapidly intensify, becoming a hurricane by this afternoon and a major hurricane on Tuesday, with further intensification likely though midweek. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Storm Polo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2 and WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by Tuesday night or early Wednesday. RAINFALL: Polo is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches, with isolated maximum totals up to 12 inches across coastal portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero and Michoacán through Thursday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. Rainfall of 3 to 6 inches is possible in coastal portions of Oaxaca, Colima, and Jalisco through Thursday. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Polo, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf SURF: Swells generated by Polo are expected to begin affecting portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico on Tuesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 1200 PM CST. Next complete advisory at 300 PM CST. $$ Forecaster Blake NNNN
Fuente: NOAA / NHC
Cronología de avisos #3A
Polo forecast to rapidly intensify offshore of Mexico.
Texto oficial del aviso del NHC
ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Polo Intermediate Advisory Number 3A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172026 600 AM CST Mon Sep 21 2026 ...POLO FORECAST TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY OFFSHORE OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 600 AM CST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.6N 103.7W ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 200 MI...325 KM SW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Tecpan de Galeana to Punta San Telmo A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. The Tropical Storm Watch will likely be expanded westward later today or tonight. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 600 AM CST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Polo was located near latitude 15.6 North, longitude 103.7 West. Polo is moving toward the northeast near 5 mph (7 km/h). A slow eastward or southeastward motion is expected later today and tonight. However, a sharp turn toward the west-northwest or northwest is expected by late Tuesday. On the forecast track, the core of Polo is expected to be near the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid intensification is forecast, and Polo is expected to become a hurricane late today and a major hurricane by Wednesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Storm Polo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2 and WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible by Tuesday night or early Wednesday along portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico where a Tropical Storm Watch is now in effect. RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Polo is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches, with isolated maximum totals up to 12 inches across coastal portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacán, Colima, and Jalisco through Thursday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Tropical Storm Polo, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf SURF: Swells generated by Polo are expected to begin affecting portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico on Tuesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM CST. $$ Forecaster Blake NNNN
Fuente: NOAA / NHC
Cronología de avisos #3
Polo expected to rapidly intensify.
Texto oficial del aviso del NHC
ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Polo Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172026 300 AM CST Mon Sep 21 2026 ...POLO EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY... ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 300 AM CST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.5N 103.8W ABOUT 245 MI...395 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 210 MI...340 KM SW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Watch from Tecpan de Galeana to Punta San Telmo. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Tecpan de Galeana to Punta San Telmo A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. The Tropical Storm Watch will likely be expanded westward later today or tonight. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM CST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Polo was located near latitude 15.5 North, longitude 103.8 West. Polo is moving toward the northeast near 8 mph (13 km/h). A slow eastward or southeastward motion is expected later today and tonight. However, a sharp turn toward the west-northwest or northwest is expected by late Tuesday. On the forecast track, the core of Polo is expected to be near the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid intensification is forecast, and Polo is expected to become a hurricane later today and a major hurricane in a couple of days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Storm Polo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2 and WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible by Tuesday night or early Wednesday along portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico where a Tropical Storm Watch is now in effect. RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Polo is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches, with isolated maximum totals up to 12 inches across coastal portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacán, Colima, and Jalisco through Thursday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Tropical Storm Polo, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf SURF: Swells generated by Polo are expected to begin affecting portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico on Tuesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 600 AM CST. Next complete advisory at 900 AM CST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi NNNN
Fuente: NOAA / NHC
Cronología de avisos #2
Depression becomes tropical storm Polo. Forecast to rapidly intensify into a major hurricane.
Texto oficial del aviso del NHC
ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Polo Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172026 900 PM CST Sun Sep 20 2026 ...DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM POLO... ...FORECAST TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 900 PM CST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.1N 104.6W ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 270 MI...430 KM SW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 PM CST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Polo was located near latitude 15.1 North, longitude 104.6 West. Polo is now moving toward the east-northeast near 5 mph (7 km/h). A turn toward the east is expected on Tuesday, followed by a decrease in forward speed and a sharp turn toward the north and northwest on Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid intensification is forecast over the next few days, and Polo is expected to become a major hurricane by the middle part of the week. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Storm Polo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2 and WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC. RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Polo is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches, with isolated maximum totals up to 12 inches across coastal portions of the Mexican states of Michoacán, Colima, and Jalisco through Thursday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Tropical Storm Polo, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM CST. $$ Forecaster Papin NNNN
Fuente: NOAA / NHC