Huracán Rachel (Cat 1)
Sin vigilancia/aviso oficial para BajaNo hay vigilancia ni aviso oficial para Baja en los datos actuales del NHC.
Rachel tiene vientos sostenidos de hasta 140 km/h y avanza al NO a 17 km/h. Podría convertirse en un huracán mayor en un día más o menos.
Aviso regional del NHC:
El oleaje generado por Rachel afectará la costa del suroeste de México durante los próximos un par de días y se propagará hacia el norte a lo largo de la costa del centro-occidente de México y la Península de Baja California hasta el final de la semana. Es probable que estos oleajes provoquen condiciones de oleaje y corrientes de resaca que amenazan la vida.
Aviso de Rachel actualizado:
Datos clave
- Tipo
- Huracán (Cat 1)
- Viento máximo sostenido
- 140 km/h
- Presión mínima
- 979 mb
- Movimiento
- NW 17 km/h
- Centro a BCS
- 615 km
- Tipo
- Huracán (Cat 1)
- Viento máximo sostenido
- 140 km/h
- Presión mínima
- 979 mb
- Movimiento
- NW 17 km/h
- Centro a BCS
- 615 km
La distancia en la trayectoria entre posiciones reportadas es estimada. La distancia al centro no indica hasta dónde pueden llegar sus vientos y lluvias.
Seguimiento de Rachel
Depresión Trop.Tormenta TropicalHuracánHuracán Mayor
Fuentes del mapa: Perspectiva de 7 días del NHCtrayectoria y cono del NHCviento NOAA GFS. Visualización de BajaStorms.
Gráficos oficiales
Gráfico de BajaStormsFuente: NOAA/NHC ATCF A-deck ↗
Guía construida: No es el pronóstico oficial del NHC
Cronología de avisos
Cronología de avisos #13A
Rachel continúa moviéndose hacia el noroeste. Podría convertirse en un huracán mayor en un día más o menos.
Traducción automática no oficial
ZCZC MIATCPEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BOLETÍN Huracán Rachel Aviso Intermedio Número 13A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP182026 500 AM MST Mié Sep 30 2026 ...RACHEL CONTINÚA MOVIÉNDOSE HACIA EL NOROESTE... ...PODRÍA CONVERTIRSE EN UN HURACÁN MAYOR EN UN DÍA MÁS O MENOS... RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACIÓN DE LAS 500 AM MST...1200 UTC... ---------------------------------------------- UBICACIÓN...17.8N 107.6W A UNAS 355 MI...570 KM AL O DE LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO A UNAS 220 MI...350 KM AL SO DE CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO VIENTOS MÁXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...85 MPH...140 KM/H MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NW O 315 GRADOS A 10 MPH...17 KM/H PRESIÓN CENTRAL MÍNIMA...979 MB...28.91 PULGADAS VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS -------------------- CAMBIOS CON ESTE AVISO: Ninguno. RESUMEN DE LAS VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN EFECTO: Hay un Aviso de Tormenta Tropical en efecto para... * Costa del suroeste de México desde Punta San Telmo hasta Playa Perula Hay una Vigilancia de Tormenta Tropical en efecto para... * Costa del suroeste de México al N de Playa Perula hasta Cabo Corrientes Un Aviso de Tormenta Tropical significa que se esperan condiciones de tormenta tropical en algún lugar dentro del área de aviso. Una Vigilancia de Tormenta Tropical significa que son posibles condiciones de tormenta tropical dentro del área de vigilancia. Para información específica sobre la tormenta para su área, por favor monitoree los productos emitidos por su servicio meteorológico nacional. ANÁLISIS Y PRONÓSTICO ---------------------- A las 500 AM MST (1200 UTC), el centro del Huracán Rachel se ubicaba cerca de la latitud 17.8 Norte, longitud 107.6 Oeste. Rachel se está moviendo hacia el noroeste cerca de 10 mph (17 km/h). Se espera un movimiento hacia el noroeste a una velocidad de avance más lenta durante los próximos uno o dos días, seguido por un giro hacia el oeste-noroeste y el oeste más adelante esta semana. En la trayectoria pronosticada, se espera que el centro de Rachel se aleje del territorio continental de México y pase al sur de la Península de Baja California hasta el jueves. Los vientos máximos sostenidos son de cerca de 85 mph (140 km/h) con rachas más fuertes. Se espera un fortalecimiento rápido hoy, y Rachel podría convertirse en un huracán mayor dentro del próximo día más o menos. Los vientos con fuerza de huracán se extienden hacia afuera hasta 25 millas (35 km) desde el centro y los vientos con fuerza de tormenta tropical se extienden hacia afuera hasta 160 millas (260 km). La presión central mínima estimada es de 979 mb (28.91 pulgadas). PELIGROS QUE AFECTAN TIERRA ---------------------- Los mensajes clave para Rachel pueden encontrarse en la Discusión de Ciclón Tropical bajo el encabezado AWIPS MIATCDEP3 y el encabezado WMO WTPZ43 KNHC. VIENTO: Las condiciones de tormenta tropical continuarán en porciones del área de aviso esta mañana. Las condiciones de tormenta tropical son posibles en el área de vigilancia esta mañana. LLUVIA: Se espera que Rachel produzca acumulados de lluvia de 4 a 8 pulgadas, con acumulados máximos aislados de 12 pulgadas en porciones costeras de los estados mexicanos de Guerrero, Michoacán, Colima y Jalisco. Esta lluvia puede producir inundaciones y deslaves que amenazan la vida, especialmente en áreas de terreno escarpado. Para una representación completa de la lluvia pronosticada asociada con Rachel, consulte el Gráfico de Lluvia Total de Tormenta del National Weather Service que está disponible en hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep3.shtml?rainqpf MAREJADA: El oleaje generado por Rachel afectará la costa del suroeste de México durante los próximos un par de días y se propagará hacia el norte a lo largo de la costa del centro-occidente de México y la Península de Baja California hasta el final de la semana. Es probable que estos oleajes provoquen condiciones de oleaje y corrientes de resaca que amenazan la vida. Por favor consulte los productos de su oficina local de tiempo. PRÓXIMO AVISO ------------- Próximo aviso completo a las 800 AM MST. $$ Pronosticador Beven NNNN
Texto oficial del aviso del NHC
ZCZC MIATCPEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Hurricane Rachel Intermediate Advisory Number 13A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP182026 500 AM MST Wed Sep 30 2026 ...RACHEL CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWESTWARD... ...COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE IN A DAY OR SO... SUMMARY OF 500 AM MST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.8N 107.6W ABOUT 355 MI...570 KM W OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO ABOUT 220 MI...350 KM SW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Coast of southwestern Mexico from Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Coast of southwestern Mexico north of Playa Perula to Cabo Corrientes A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM MST (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Rachel was located near latitude 17.8 North, longitude 107.6 West. Rachel is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A northwestward motion at a slower forward speed is expected during the next day or two, followed by a turn toward the west-northwest and west later this week. On the forecast track, the center of Rachel is expected to move away from mainland Mexico and south of the Baja California Peninsula through Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid strengthening is expected today, and Rachel could become a major hurricane within the next day or so. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.91 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Rachel can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP3 and WMO header WTPZ43 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue in portions of the warning area this morning. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area this morning. RAINFALL: Rachel is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches, with isolated maximum totals of 12 inches across coastal portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacán, Colima and Jalisco. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Rachel, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep3.shtml?rainqpf SURF: Swells generated by Rachel will affect the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days and spread northward along the coast of west-central Mexico and the Baja California Peninsula through the end of the week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM MST. $$ Forecaster Beven NNNN
Fuente: NOAA / NHC
Cronología de avisos #13
Rachel se está intensificando. Podría convertirse en un huracán mayor en uno o dos días.
Traducción automática no oficial
ZCZC MIATCPEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BOLETÍN Advisory número 13 del Huracán Rachel NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP182026 200 AM MST Mié Sep 30 2026 ...RACHEL SE ESTÁ INTENSIFICANDO... ...PODRÍA CONVERTIRSE EN UN HURACÁN MAYOR EN UNO O DOS DÍAS... RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACIÓN DE LAS 200 AM MST...0900 UTC ---------------------------------------------- UBICACIÓN...17.6N 107.2W A UNAS 330 MI...530 KM AL O DE LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO A UNAS 215 MI...350 KM AL SSO DE CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO VIENTOS MÁXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...85 MPH...140 KM/H MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NW O 315 GRADOS A 10 MPH...17 KM/H PRESIÓN CENTRAL MÍNIMA...979 MB...28.91 PULGADAS VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS -------------------- CAMBIOS CON ESTE ADVISORY: Ninguno. RESUMEN DE VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN VIGOR: Hay en efecto una Advertencia de Tormenta Tropical para... * Costa del suroeste de México desde Punta San Telmo hasta Playa Perula Hay en efecto una Vigilancia de Tormenta Tropical para... * Costa del suroeste de México al norte de Playa Perula hasta Cabo Corrientes Una Advertencia de Tormenta Tropical significa que se esperan condiciones de tormenta tropical en algún lugar dentro del área de advertencia. Una Vigilancia de Tormenta Tropical significa que las condiciones de tormenta tropical son posibles dentro del área de vigilancia. Para información sobre la tormenta específica para su área, por favor dé seguimiento a los productos emitidos por su servicio meteorológico nacional. DISCUSIÓN Y PERSPECTIVA ---------------------- A las 200 AM MST (0900 UTC), el centro del Huracán Rachel se ubicaba cerca de la latitud 17.6 Norte, longitud 107.2 Oeste. Rachel se mueve hacia el noroeste cerca de 10 mph (17 km/h). Se espera un movimiento hacia el noroeste con una velocidad de avance más lenta durante el próximo día o dos, seguido por un giro hacia el oeste-noroeste y el oeste más adelante esta semana. En la trayectoria pronosticada, se espera que el centro de Rachel se aleje de tierra firme de México y pase al sur de la Península de Baja California hasta el jueves. Los vientos máximos sostenidos han aumentado a cerca de 85 mph (140 km/h) con ráfagas más fuertes. Se espera un fortalecimiento rápido hoy, y Rachel podría convertirse en un huracán mayor dentro de uno o dos días. Los vientos con fuerza de huracán se extienden hacia afuera hasta 25 millas (35 km) del centro y los vientos con fuerza de tormenta tropical se extienden hacia afuera hasta 160 millas (260 km). La presión central mínima estimada es de 979 mb (28.91 pulgadas). PELIGROS QUE AFECTAN A TIERRA ---------------------- Los mensajes clave para Rachel se pueden encontrar en la discusión del ciclón tropical bajo el encabezado AWIPS MIATCDEP3 y el encabezado WMO WTPZ43 KNHC. VIENTO: Las condiciones de tormenta tropical continuarán en porciones del área de advertencia esta mañana. Las condiciones de tormenta tropical son posibles en el área de vigilancia esta mañana. LLUVIA: Se espera que Rachel produzca acumulados de lluvia de 4 a 8 pulgadas, con acumulados máximos aislados de 12 pulgadas en porciones costeras de los estados mexicanos de Guerrero, Michoacán, Colima y Jalisco. Esta lluvia puede producir inundaciones y deslaves potencialmente mortales, especialmente en áreas de terreno escarpado. Para una representación completa de la lluvia pronosticada asociada con Rachel, consulte el gráfico de lluvia total de tormenta del National Weather Service disponible en hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep3.shtml?rainqpf MAREJADA: El oleaje generado por Rachel afectará la costa suroeste de México durante los próximos dos días y se extenderá hacia el norte a lo largo de la costa del centro-oeste de México y la Península de Baja California hasta el final de la semana. Es probable que estas marejadas causen condiciones de resaca y corrientes de arrastre potencialmente mortales. Por favor consulte los productos de su oficina meteorológica local. PRÓXIMO ADVISORY ------------- Próximo advisory intermedio a las 500 AM MST. Próximo advisory completo a las 800 AM MST. $$ Pronosticador Pasch NNNN
Texto oficial del aviso del NHC
ZCZC MIATCPEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Hurricane Rachel Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP182026 200 AM MST Wed Sep 30 2026 ...RACHEL IS STRENGTHENING... ...COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE IN A DAY OR SO... SUMMARY OF 200 AM MST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.6N 107.2W ABOUT 330 MI...530 KM W OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO ABOUT 215 MI...350 KM SSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Coast of southwestern Mexico from Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Coast of southwestern Mexico north of Playa Perula to Cabo Corrientes A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM MST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Rachel was located near latitude 17.6 North, longitude 107.2 West. Rachel is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A northwestward motion at a slower forward speed is expected during the next day or two, followed by a turn toward the west-northwest and west later this week. On the forecast track, the center of Rachel is expected to move away from mainland Mexico and south of the Baja California Peninsula through Thursday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid strengthening is expected today, and Rachel could become a major hurricane within the next day or so. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.91 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Rachel can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP3 and WMO header WTPZ43 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue in portions of the warning area this morning. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area this morning. RAINFALL: Rachel is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches, with isolated maximum totals of 12 inches across coastal portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacán, Colima and Jalisco. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Rachel, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep3.shtml?rainqpf SURF: Swells generated by Rachel will affect the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days and spread northward along the coast of west-central Mexico and the Baja California Peninsula through the end of the week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 500 AM MST. Next complete advisory at 800 AM MST. $$ Forecaster Pasch NNNN
Fuente: NOAA / NHC
Cronología de avisos #12A
Rachel becomes a hurricane.
Texto oficial del aviso del NHC
ZCZC MIATCPEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Hurricane Rachel Intermediate Advisory Number 12A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP182026 1100 PM MST Tue Sep 29 2026 ...RACHEL BECOMES A HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM MST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.3N 106.8W ABOUT 305 MI...495 KM W OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM SSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Coast of southwestern Mexico from Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Coast of southwestern Mexico north of Playa Perula to Cabo Corrientes A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case over the next 12-24 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case in the next 12-24 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM MST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Rachel was located near latitude 17.3 North, longitude 106.8 West. Rachel is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A northwestward motion at a slower forward speed is expected during the next day or two, followed by a turn toward the west-northwest and west later this week. On the forecast track, the center of Rachel is expected to move away from mainland Mexico and south of the Baja California Peninsula through Thursday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected during the next couple of days, and Rachel is forecast to become a major hurricane by Thursday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Rachel can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP3 and WMO header WTPZ43 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue in portions of the warning area tonight. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area later tonight into Wednesday. RAINFALL: Rachel is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches, with isolated maximum totals of 12 inches across coastal portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacán, Colima and Jalisco. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Rachel, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep3.shtml?rainqpf SURF: Swells generated by Rachel will affect the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days and spread northward along the coast of west-central Mexico and the Baja California Peninsula through the end of the week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM MST. $$ Forecaster Pasch NNNN
Fuente: NOAA / NHC
Cronología de avisos #12
Rachel expected to become a hurricane soon.
Texto oficial del aviso del NHC
ZCZC MIATCPEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Rachel Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP182026 800 PM MST Tue Sep 29 2026 ...RACHEL EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE SOON... ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OCCURRING WITHIN THE WARNING AREA ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 800 PM MST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.0N 106.6W ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM WSW OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO ABOUT 240 MI...390 KM SSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Coast of southwestern Mexico from Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Coast of southwestern Mexico north of Playa Perula to Cabo Corrientes A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case over the next 12-24 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case in the next 12-24 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM MST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rachel was located near latitude 17.0 North, longitude 106.6 West. Rachel is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A northwestward motion at a slower forward speed is expected during the next day or two, followed by a turn toward the west-northwest and west later this week. On the forecast track, the center of Rachel is forecast to move parallel to, but stay offshore of, the coast of southwestern Mexico through Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Steady to rapid strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days. Rachel is forecast to become a hurricane later tonight or early Wednesday and a major hurricane by Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km) from the center. The Manzanillo International Airport (MMZO) recently reported sustained winds of 46 mph (74 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Rachel can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP3 and WMO header WTPZ43 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue in portions of the warning area tonight. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area later tonight into Wednesday. RAINFALL: Rachel is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches, with isolated maximum totals of 12 inches across coastal portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacán, Colima and Jalisco. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Rachel, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep3.shtml?rainqpf SURF: Swells generated by Rachel will affect the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days and spread northward along the coast of west-central Mexico and the Baja California Peninsula through the end of the week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 1100 PM MST. Next complete advisory at 200 AM MST. $$ Forecaster Reinhart NNNN
Fuente: NOAA / NHC
Cronología de avisos #11A
Rachel pronosticada para convertirse en un huracán mayor a finales de esta semana. Vientos con ráfagas se extienden a lo largo de la costa del suroeste de México.
Traducción automática no oficial
ZCZC MIATCPEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BOLETÍN Tropical Storm Rachel Intermediate Advisory Number 11A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP182026 600 PM CST Tue Sep 29 2026 ...RACHEL PRONOSTICADA PARA CONVERTIRSE EN UN HURACÁN MAYOR A FINALES DE ESTA SEMANA... ...VIENTOS CON RÁFAGAS SE ESTÁN EXTENDIENDO A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA DEL SUROESTE DE MÉXICO... RESUMEN DE LAS 600 PM CST...0000 UTC...INFORMACIÓN ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.6N 106.3W ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM WSW OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS -------------------- CAMBIOS CON ESTE AVISO: Ninguno. RESUMEN DE LAS VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN EFECTO: Está en efecto un Aviso de Tormenta Tropical para... * Costa del suroeste de México desde Punta San Telmo hasta Playa Perula Está en efecto una Vigilancia de Tormenta Tropical para... * Costa del suroeste de México al norte de Playa Perula hasta Cabo Corrientes Un Aviso de Tormenta Tropical significa que se esperan condiciones de tormenta tropical en algún lugar dentro del área de aviso, en este caso durante las próximas 12-24 horas. Una Vigilancia de Tormenta Tropical significa que son posibles condiciones de tormenta tropical dentro del área de vigilancia, en este caso en las próximas 12-24 horas. Para información específica sobre la tormenta para su área, por favor monitoree los productos emitidos por su servicio meteorológico nacional. DISCUSIÓN Y PERSPECTIVA ---------------------- A las 600 PM CST (0000 UTC), el centro de la Tormenta Tropical Rachel se ubicaba cerca de la latitud 16.6 Norte, longitud 106.3 Oeste. Rachel se está moviendo hacia el noroeste cerca de 12 mph (19 km/h). Se espera un movimiento hacia el noroeste a una velocidad de avance más lenta durante los próximos varios días. En la trayectoria pronosticada, el centro de Rachel se pronostica que se moverá paralelo a, pero permanecerá mar afuera de, la costa del suroeste de México. Los vientos máximos sostenidos son cerca de 70 mph (110 km/h) con ráfagas más fuertes. Se pronostica un fortalecimiento constante a rápido durante los próximos varios días. Se pronostica que Rachel se convertirá en huracán esta noche y en un huracán mayor para el jueves. Los vientos de fuerza de tormenta tropical se extienden hacia afuera hasta 185 millas (295 km) desde el centro. El Aeropuerto Internacional de Manzanillo reportó recientemente vientos sostenidos de 35 mph (56 km/h). La presión central mínima estimada es de 989 mb (29.21 pulgadas). PELIGROS QUE AFECTAN TIERRA ---------------------- Los mensajes clave para Rachel se pueden encontrar en la Discusión de Ciclón Tropical bajo el encabezado AWIPS MIATCDEP3 y el encabezado WMO WTPZ43 KNHC. VIENTO: Las condiciones de tormenta tropical se están extendiendo hacia el área de aviso y continuarán esta noche. Son posibles condiciones de tormenta tropical en el área de vigilancia para esta noche o el miércoles. LLUVIAS: Se espera que Rachel produzca acumulados de lluvia de 4 a 8 pulgadas, con acumulados máximos aislados de 12 pulgadas en las porciones costeras de los estados mexicanos de Guerrero, Michoacán, Colima y Jalisco. Esta lluvia puede producir inundaciones y lodo y deslaves potencialmente mortales, especialmente en áreas de terreno escarpado. Para una representación completa de la lluvia pronosticada asociada con Rachel, por favor consulte la Gráfica de Lluvia Total de Tormenta del Servicio Meteorológico Nacional available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep3.shtml?rainqpf MAREJADA: Las marejadas generadas por Rachel afectarán la costa suroeste de México durante los próximos dos días y se extenderán hacia el norte a lo largo de la costa del centro-occidente de México y la Península de Baja California hasta el final de la semana. Es probable que estas marejadas causen condiciones de oleaje y corrientes de resaca potencialmente mortales. Por favor consulte los productos de su oficina local del tiempo. PRÓXIMO AVISO ------------- Próximo aviso completo a las 900 PM CST. $$ Pronosticador Reinhart NNNN
Texto oficial del aviso del NHC
ZCZC MIATCPEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Rachel Intermediate Advisory Number 11A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP182026 600 PM CST Tue Sep 29 2026 ...RACHEL FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE LATER THIS WEEK... ...GUSTY WINDS SPREADING ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 600 PM CST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.6N 106.3W ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM WSW OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Coast of southwestern Mexico from Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Coast of southwestern Mexico north of Playa Perula to Cabo Corrientes A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case over the next 12-24 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case in the next 12-24 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 600 PM CST (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rachel was located near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 106.3 West. Rachel is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A northwestward motion at a slower forward speed is expected during the next several days. On the forecast track, the center of Rachel is forecast to move parallel to, but stay offshore of, the coast of southwestern Mexico. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Steady to rapid strengthening is forecast during the next few days. Rachel is forecast to become a hurricane tonight and a major hurricane by Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km) from the center. Manzanillo International Airport recently reported sustained winds of 35 mph (56 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Rachel can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP3 and WMO header WTPZ43 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are spreading into the warning area and will continue tonight. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area by tonight or Wednesday. RAINFALL: Rachel is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches, with isolated maximum totals of 12 inches across coastal portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacán, Colima and Jalisco. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Rachel, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep3.shtml?rainqpf SURF: Swells generated by Rachel will affect the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days and spread northward along the coast of west-central Mexico and the Baja California Peninsula through the end of the week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM CST. $$ Forecaster Reinhart NNNN
Fuente: NOAA / NHC
Cronología de avisos #11
Rachel near hurricane strength. Now forecast to become a major hurricane.
Texto oficial del aviso del NHC
ZCZC MIATCPEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Rachel Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP182026 300 PM CST Tue Sep 29 2026 ...RACHEL NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH... ...NOW FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 300 PM CST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.0N 105.7W ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM WSW OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Coast of southwestern Mexico from Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Coast of southwestern Mexico north of Playa Perula to Cabo Corrientes A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case over the next 12-24 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case in the next 12-24 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM CST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rachel was located by NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft near latitude 16.0 North, longitude 105.7 West. Rachel is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A northwestward motion at a slower forward speed is expected during the next several days. On the forecast track, the center of Rachel is forecast to move parallel to, but stay offshore of, the coast of southwestern Mexico. Aircraft data indicates that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Steady to rapid strengthening is forecast during the next few days, and Rachel is forecast to become a hurricane tonight, and major hurricane by Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km) from the center. The minimum central pressure estimated from the NOAA Hurricane Hunter dropsonde data is 989 mb (29.21 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Rachel can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP3 and WMO header WTPZ43 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area later today or tonight. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area by tonight or Wednesday. RAINFALL: Rachel is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches, with isolated maximum totals of 12 inches across coastal portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacán, Colima and Jalisco. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Rachel, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep3.shtml?rainqpf SURF: Swells generated by Rachel will affect portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days and spread northward through the end of the week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 600 PM CST. Next complete advisory at 900 PM CST. $$ Forecaster Papin NNNN
Fuente: NOAA / NHC
Cronología de avisos #10A
Rachel holding steady south of southwestern Mexico.
Texto oficial del aviso del NHC
ZCZC MIATCPEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Rachel Intermediate Advisory Number 10A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP182026 1200 PM CST Tue Sep 29 2026 ...RACHEL HOLDING STEADY SOUTH OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1200 PM CST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.7N 105.1W ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM SW OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO ABOUT 325 MI...525 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Coast of southwestern Mexico from Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Coast of southwestern Mexico north of Playa Perula to Cabo Corrientes A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1200 PM CST (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rachel was located by NOAA Hurricane Hunter Reconnaissance aircraft near latitude 15.7 North, longitude 105.1 West. Rachel is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A northwestward motion at a slower forward speed is expected during the next several days. On the forecast track, the center of Rachel is predicted to move parallel to, but stay offshore of, the coast of southwestern Mexico. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is expected during the next few days, and Rachel is forecast to become a hurricane later today. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) from the center. The minimum central pressure estimated from the NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft data is 987 mb (29.15 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Rachel can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP3 and WMO header WTPZ43 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area later today or tonight. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area by tonight or Wednesday. RAINFALL: Rachel is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches, with isolated maximum totals of 12 inches across coastal portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacán, Colima and Jalisco. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Rachel, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep3.shtml?rainqpf SURF: Swells generated by Rachel will affect portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days and spread northward through the end of the week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM CST. $$ Forecaster Adams NNNN
Fuente: NOAA / NHC
Cronología de avisos #10
Rachel slightly stronger.
Texto oficial del aviso del NHC
ZCZC MIATCPEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Rachel Advisory Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP182026 900 AM CST Tue Sep 29 2026 ...RACHEL SLIGHTLY STRONGER... SUMMARY OF 900 AM CST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.3N 105.0W ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SW OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO ABOUT 355 MI...570 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Coast of southwestern Mexico from Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Coast of southwestern Mexico north of Playa Perula to Cabo Corrientes A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM CST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rachel was located near latitude 15.3 North, longitude 105.0 West. Rachel is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A general northwestward motion at a slower forward speed is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Rachel is predicted to move parallel to, but stay offshore of, the coast of southwestern Mexico. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is expected during the next few days, and Rachel is forecast to become a hurricane later today. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Rachel can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP3 and WMO header WTPZ43 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area later today or tonight. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area by tonight or Wednesday. RAINFALL: Rachel is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches, with isolated maximum totals of 12 inches across coastal portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacán, Colima and Jalisco. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Rachel, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep3.shtml?rainqpf SURF: Swells generated by Rachel will affect portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days and spread northward through the end of the week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 1200 PM CST. Next complete advisory at 300 PM CST. $$ Forecaster Adams NNNN
Fuente: NOAA / NHC
Cronología de avisos #9A
Tropical Storm Rachel Intermediate Advisory Number 9A
Texto oficial del aviso del NHC
ZCZC MIATCPEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Rachel Intermediate Advisory Number 9A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP182026 600 AM CST Tue Sep 29 2026 ...RACHEL BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED OFFSHORE OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 600 AM CST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.1N 104.8W ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SW OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Coast of southwestern Mexico from Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Coast of southwestern Mexico north of Playa Perula to Cabo Corrientes A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 600 AM CST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rachel was located near latitude 15.1 North, longitude 104.8 West. Rachel is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A general northwestward motion at a slower forward speed is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Rachel is predicted to move parallel to, but stay offshore of, the coast of southwestern Mexico. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is expected during the next few days, and Rachel is forecast to become a hurricane during the next day or so. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Rachel can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP3 and WMO header WTPZ43 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area later today. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area by tonight or Wednesday. RAINFALL: Rachel is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches, with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches across coastal portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacán and Colima. This rainfall may produce flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Rachel, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep3.shtml?rainqpf SURF: Swells generated by Rachel will affect portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days and spread northward through the end of the week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM CST. $$ Forecaster Adams NNNN
Fuente: NOAA / NHC
Cronología de avisos #9
Tropical Storm Rachel Advisory Number 9
Texto oficial del aviso del NHC
ZCZC MIATCPEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Rachel Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP182026 300 AM CST Tue Sep 29 2026 ...RACHEL EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO... SUMMARY OF 300 AM CST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.7N 104.3W ABOUT 265 MI...430 KM SSW OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO ABOUT 405 MI...650 KM SSE OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Coast of southwestern Mexico from Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Coast of southwestern Mexico north of Playa Perula to Cabo Corrientes A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM CST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rachel was located near latitude 14.7 North, longitude 104.3 West. Rachel is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A generally northwestward motion at a slower forward speed is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Rachel is predicted to move parallel to, but stay offshore of, the coast of southwestern Mexico. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is expected during the next few days, and Rachel is forecast to become a hurricane during the next day or so. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Rachel can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP3 and WMO header WTPZ43 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area later today. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area by tonight or Wednesday. RAINFALL: Rachel is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches, with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches across coastal portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacán and Colima. This rainfall may produce flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Rachel, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep3.shtml?rainqpf SURF: Swells generated by Rachel will affect portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days and spread northward through midweek. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 600 AM CST. Next complete advisory at 900 AM CST. $$ Forecaster Pasch NNNN
Fuente: NOAA / NHC