SMN severity: Severe
SMN Rainfall Warning
Mainland Mexico
Map Area: Guerrero, Oaxaca
Expected conditions
- Isolated intense rainfall totaling 3.0–5.9 in, lightning
- Wind gusts
1 active official SMN weather alert
The map shows official SMN warning areas. Areas may overlap.
Map colors show SMN severity: red Extreme, orange Severe, yellow Moderate. Select an area or letter to read the warning details.
Official SMN alerts relayed by BajaStorms. Map areas are generalized: conditions can vary, and nearby places outside the outlines may also be affected. Follow official guidance.
Official statusTropical Storm Warning · Mainland Mexico
Monitoring 2 active systems
2 active systems: Hurricane Trudy and Tropical Storm Simon.NHC is monitoring 2 systems in the Eastern Pacific: Hurricane Trudy and Tropical Storm Simon. BajaStorms is following official updates for each system.
Hurricane · Cat 1 Trudy and Tropical Storm Simon are tracked separately. The current NHC outlook is monitoring 1 other area for possible development. That area's formation chances are near 0% through 48 hours and 40% through seven days.
NHC outlook updated:
Regional Storm Tracker
Trop. Depr.Tropical StormHurricaneMajor Hurr.Post Tropical
HurricaneWatchHurricaneWarningTropical StormWatchTropical StormWarning
Map sources: NHC 7-Day OutlookNHC storm track and coneNOAA GFS wind and pressureNOAA/NESDIS satellite imagery. Visualization by BajaStorms.
Tropical Storm Warning · Mainland Mexico
Hurricane Trudy (Cat 1)
90mphSteady
Max sustained winds
Official Warnings
- Tropical Storm WarningMainland Mexico · The coast of Mexico from Punta San Telmo southward to Zihuatanejo
Official Watches
- Hurricane WatchMainland Mexico · The coast of Mexico north of Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula
- Movement
- NNW 6 mph
- Min pressure
- 978 mb
Storm center distance to BCS
- Current
- 829 mi
- Closest observed
- 10/15/26 · 829 mi
- Closest forecast
- 10/20/26 · 191 mi
Storm center distance to mainland Mexico
- Current
- 247 mi
- Closest observed
- 10/15/26 · 247 mi
- Closest forecast
- 10/18/26 · 20 mi
Track distance between reported center positions is estimated. Center distance does not show how far winds and rain can reach.
Trudy advisory:
No official watch/warning
Tropical Storm Simon
50mphWeakening
Max sustained winds
- Movement
- NW 1 mph
- Min pressure
- 999 mb
Storm center distance to BCS
- Current
- 271 mi
- Closest observed
- 10/13/26 · 240 mi
- Closest forecast
- 10/16/26 · 119 mi
Storm center distance to mainland Mexico
- Current
- 179 mi
- Closest observed
- 10/11/26 · 29 mi
- Closest forecast
- now · 179 mi
Track distance between reported center positions is estimated. Center distance does not show how far winds and rain can reach.
Simon advisory:
What changed since the last update
BajaStorms is monitoring each active system independently.
Situation steady
Trudy held steady at 90 mph.
Situation improving
Simon weakened from 60 mph to 50 mph.
Official Cone & Model Guidance
Trudy tracking
BajaStorms graphicSource: NOAA/NHC ATCF A-deck ↗
Constructed guidance: Not the official NHC forecast
Simon tracking
BajaStorms graphicSource: NOAA/NHC ATCF A-deck ↗
Constructed guidance: Not the official NHC forecast
Local Monitoring
Baja California Sur
Cabo San Lucas
Tap for detailsClick for details87°Light drizzle90° · 77°
Monitoring Hurricane Trudy and Tropical Storm Simon.
Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Simon, about 272 mi from here (position at Oct 15, 2:00 PM GMT-7). Center distance does not describe local hazards.
BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.
San José del Cabo
Tap for detailsClick for details88°Light drizzle90° · 76°
Monitoring Hurricane Trudy and Tropical Storm Simon.
Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Simon, about 277 mi from here (position at Oct 15, 2:00 PM GMT-7). Center distance does not describe local hazards.
BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.
Todos Santos
Tap for detailsClick for details88°Clear sky89° · 74°
Monitoring Hurricane Trudy and Tropical Storm Simon.
Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Simon, about 314 mi from here (position at Oct 15, 2:00 PM GMT-7). Center distance does not describe local hazards.
BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.
La Paz
Tap for detailsClick for details89°Clear sky89° · 80°
Monitoring Hurricane Trudy and Tropical Storm Simon.
Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Simon, about 361 mi from here (position at Oct 15, 2:00 PM GMT-7). Center distance does not describe local hazards.
BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.
East CapeLos Barriles
Tap for detailsClick for details87°Mainly clear89° · 78°
Monitoring Hurricane Trudy and Tropical Storm Simon.
Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Simon, about 318 mi from here (position at Oct 15, 2:00 PM GMT-7). Center distance does not describe local hazards.
BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.
Loreto
Tap for detailsClick for details87°Clear sky90° · 71°
Monitoring Hurricane Trudy and Tropical Storm Simon.
Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Simon, about 505 mi from here (position at Oct 15, 2:00 PM GMT-7). Center distance does not describe local hazards.
BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.
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MulegéBahía Concepción
Tap for detailsClick for details87°Clear sky87° · 69°
Monitoring Hurricane Trudy and Tropical Storm Simon.
Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Simon, about 577 mi from here (position at Oct 15, 2:00 PM GMT-7). Center distance does not describe local hazards.
BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.
Santa Rosalía
Tap for detailsClick for details84°Clear sky85° · 71°
Monitoring Hurricane Trudy and Tropical Storm Simon.
Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Simon, about 612 mi from here (position at Oct 15, 2:00 PM GMT-7). Center distance does not describe local hazards.
BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.
Ciudad Constitución
Tap for detailsClick for details92°Clear sky92° · 68°
Monitoring Hurricane Trudy and Tropical Storm Simon.
Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Simon, about 454 mi from here (position at Oct 15, 2:00 PM GMT-7). Center distance does not describe local hazards.
BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.
Magdalena BayPuerto San Carlos
Tap for detailsClick for details86°Clear sky88° · 69°
Monitoring Hurricane Trudy and Tropical Storm Simon.
Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Simon, about 454 mi from here (position at Oct 15, 2:00 PM GMT-7). Center distance does not describe local hazards.
BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.
Bahía TortugasPacific Northwest
Tap for detailsClick for details85°Clear sky85° · 65°
Monitoring Hurricane Trudy and Tropical Storm Simon.
Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Simon, about 718 mi from here (position at Oct 15, 2:00 PM GMT-7). Center distance does not describe local hazards.
BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.
Guerrero Negro
Tap for detailsClick for details81°Clear sky84° · 56°
Monitoring Hurricane Trudy and Tropical Storm Simon.
Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Simon, about 703 mi from here (position at Oct 15, 2:00 PM GMT-7). Center distance does not describe local hazards.
BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.
Mainland Mexico
NewNow covering 12 cities in mainland Mexico’s coastal region.
Salina Cruz
Tap for detailsClick for details89°Overcast91° · 79°
Monitoring Hurricane Trudy and Tropical Storm Simon.
Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Trudy, about 467 mi from here (position at Oct 15, 3:00 PM CST). Center distance does not describe local hazards.
BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.
Puerto Escondido
Tap for detailsClick for details79°Light drizzle80° · 75°
Monitoring Hurricane Trudy and Tropical Storm Simon.
Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Trudy, about 344 mi from here (position at Oct 15, 3:00 PM CST). Center distance does not describe local hazards.
BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.
Acapulco
Tap for detailsClick for details79°Drizzle79° · 75°
Monitoring Hurricane Trudy and Tropical Storm Simon.
Protección Civil lists Acapulco de Juárez municipality at Blue — very low danger, with Trudy approaching (bulletin 10/15/2026, 09:00 horas). This does not cancel NHC coastal warnings.
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Zihuatanejo
Tap for detailsClick for details79°Drizzle87° · 76°
Monitoring Hurricane Trudy and Tropical Storm Simon.
Protección Civil lists Zihuatanejo de Azueta municipality at Green — low danger, with Trudy approaching (bulletin 10/15/2026, 09:00 horas). This does not cancel NHC coastal warnings.
Lázaro Cárdenas
Tap for detailsClick for details80°Drizzle91° · 76°
Monitoring Hurricane Trudy and Tropical Storm Simon.
Protección Civil lists Lázaro Cárdenas municipality at Green — low danger, with Trudy approaching (bulletin 10/15/2026, 09:00 horas). This does not cancel NHC coastal warnings.
Manzanillo
Tap for detailsClick for details85°Thunderstorm87° · 77°
Monitoring Hurricane Trudy and Tropical Storm Simon.
Protección Civil lists Manzanillo municipality at Blue — very low danger, with Trudy approaching (bulletin 10/15/2026, 09:00 horas). This does not cancel NHC coastal warnings.
Puerto Vallarta
Tap for detailsClick for details86°Light drizzle88° · 78°
Monitoring Hurricane Trudy and Tropical Storm Simon.
Protección Civil lists Puerto Vallarta municipality at Blue — very low danger, with Trudy approaching (bulletin 10/15/2026, 09:00 horas). This does not cancel NHC coastal warnings.
San Blas
Tap for detailsClick for details88°Mainly clear90° · 79°
Monitoring Hurricane Trudy and Tropical Storm Simon.
Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Simon, about 244 mi from here (position at Oct 15, 2:00 PM GMT-7). Center distance does not describe local hazards.
BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.
Mazatlán
Tap for detailsClick for details89°Light drizzle90° · 78°
Monitoring Hurricane Trudy and Tropical Storm Simon.
Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Simon, about 294 mi from here (position at Oct 15, 2:00 PM GMT-7). Center distance does not describe local hazards.
BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.
Culiacán
Tap for detailsClick for details98°Clear sky98° · 74°
Monitoring Hurricane Trudy and Tropical Storm Simon.
Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Simon, about 383 mi from here (position at Oct 15, 2:00 PM GMT-7). Center distance does not describe local hazards.
BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.
Los Mochis
Tap for detailsClick for details92°Clear sky94° · 71°
Monitoring Hurricane Trudy and Tropical Storm Simon.
Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Simon, about 451 mi from here (position at Oct 15, 2:00 PM GMT-7). Center distance does not describe local hazards.
BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.
Ciudad Obregón
Tap for detailsClick for details95°Clear sky95° · 66°
Monitoring Hurricane Trudy and Tropical Storm Simon.
Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Simon, about 576 mi from here (position at Oct 15, 2:00 PM GMT-7). Center distance does not describe local hazards.
BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.
BajaStorms organizes official storm, watch, and warning information. It does not issue independent weather warnings.
Weather by Open-Meteo and MET Norway
Satellite & Storm Maps
Latest satellite: Shows cloud structure across Baja and the Eastern Pacific. Use the loop to watch systems organize, weaken, or move closer to the region.
Infrared: Highlights the coldest cloud tops, which mark the strongest thunderstorms. Use the loop to see where storms build or weaken over recent hours.
Full Pacific GeoColor: Covers the wider eastern Pacific so distant tropical systems remain visible before they enter the tighter Baja sector.
Full Pacific storm tops: Combines visible and infrared detail across the full Pacific sector, making deep convection easier to spot far west of Baja.
Tropical Weather Outlook and Discussion
The National Hurricane Center's full technical discussion of conditions across the eastern Pacific - tropical waves, convection, and any systems being watched. Issued several times daily.
Sea Surface Temperature (SST)
Warm water is the fuel for tropical storms. Hurricanes generally need sea-surface temperatures of at least 26.5 °C (80 °F) to form and strengthen., so warmer water along Mexico’s Pacific coast is worth watching.
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