No active Eastern-Pacific-origin tropical cyclones
BajaStorms checked the official NHC and CPHC feeds, which report no active Eastern-Pacific-origin tropical cyclones at this update.
The current NHC outlook is monitoring 2 areas for possible development. Across those areas, the highest formation chances are 80% through 48 hours and 80% through seven days.
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Regional Storm Tracker
Map sources: NHC 7-Day OutlookNOAA GFS wind and pressureNOAA/NESDIS satellite imagery. Visualization by BajaStorms.
What changed since the last update
Since the previous NHC outlook, the highest 48-hour chance rose from 40% to 80%, the highest seven-day chance rose from 60% to 80%, and the number of monitored areas changed from 1 to 2.
Official Cone & Model Guidance
No active cone right now
Official forecast cone and track products appear here for storms tracked by BajaStorms. There is no active cone to display right now.
Local Monitoring
Baja California Sur
Mainland Mexico
Now covering 12 cities in mainland Mexico’s coastal region.
BajaStorms organizes official storm, watch, and warning information. It does not issue independent weather warnings.
Weather by Open-Meteo and MET Norway
Satellite & Storm Maps
Latest satellite: Shows cloud structure across Baja and the Eastern Pacific. Use the loop to watch systems organize, weaken, or move closer to the region.
Infrared: Highlights the coldest cloud tops, which mark the strongest thunderstorms. Use the loop to see where storms build or weaken over recent hours.
Full Pacific GeoColor: Covers the wider eastern Pacific so distant tropical systems remain visible before they enter the tighter Baja sector.
Full Pacific storm tops: Combines visible and infrared detail across the full Pacific sector, making deep convection easier to spot far west of Baja.
Tropical Weather Outlook and Discussion
The National Hurricane Center's full technical discussion of conditions across the eastern Pacific - tropical waves, convection, and any systems being watched. Issued several times daily.
Sea Surface Temperature (SST)
Warm water is the fuel for tropical storms. Hurricanes generally need sea-surface temperatures of at least 26.5 °C (80 °F) to form and strengthen., so warmer water along Mexico’s Pacific coast is worth watching.
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A quick note: BajaStorms is an independent information service, not an official weather or emergency agency. For official guidance during a storm, follow Protección Civil, SMN/CONAGUA, the NHC, and your local authorities.