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Tropical Storm Fausto

No official Baja watch/warning

No official Baja watch or warning is in effect in the current NHC data.

Tropical Storm Fausto has maximum sustained winds of 64 mph and is moving WNW at 13 mph. Steady to rapid strengthening is expected during the next couple of days, and Fausto is forecast to become a hurricane later today or tonight.

Regional NHC advisory:

Swells generated by Fausto are expected to reach the west coast of the Baja California Peninsula on Wednesday, and persist for a couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

Fausto advisory updated:

Source: NOAA / National Hurricane Center (NHC)

NHC Forecast ConeJul 20, 7:34 AM GMT-7
Current official NHC forecast cone and track for Fausto
Current official NHC forecast cone and track.NHC ↗

Key Facts

Type
Tropical Storm
Max sustained wind
64 mph
Min pressure
994 mb
Movement
WNW 13 mph
Distance to Baja
775 mi

Forecast Track

Fausto | Tropical Storm | Max wind 64 mph
DepressionTropical StormHurricaneMajor Hurricane

Tracking constructed by BajaStorms using data from NOAA / National Hurricane Center (NHC).

Interactive GuidanceJul 20, 5:00 AM GMT-7
5°N10°N15°N20°N25°N30°N145°W140°W135°W130°W125°W120°W115°W110°W

Constructed guidance: Not the official NHC forecast

Advisory Timeline

  1. Advisory Timeline #7

    Fausto continues to strengthen. Expected to become a hurricane soon.

    Official NHC advisory text
    ZCZC MIATCPEP1 ALL
    TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
     
    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Fausto Advisory Number   7
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP062026
    800 AM PDT Mon Jul 20 2026
     
    ...FAUSTO CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...
    ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE SOON...
     
     
    SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...13.5N 116.4W
    ABOUT 775 MI...1250 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES
     
     
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
     
     
    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fausto was
    located near latitude 13.5 North, longitude 116.4 West. Fausto is
    moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h).  A decrease 
    in forward speed and a motion toward the northwest is expected 
    during the next day or two.  A turn back to the west-northwest is 
    expected on Wednesday.
     
    Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/h) 
    with higher gusts.  Steady to rapid strengthening is expected during 
    the next couple of days, and Fausto is forecast to become a 
    hurricane later today or tonight.
     
    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
    from the center.
     
    The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches).
     
     
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    SURF:  Swells generated by Fausto are expected to reach the west
    coast of the Baja California Peninsula on Wednesday, and persist for
    a couple of days.  These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
    surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult products from your
    local weather office.
     
     
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT.
     
    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi
     
    NNNN

    Source: NOAA / NHC

  2. Advisory Timeline #6

    Fausto continues to strengthen.

    Official NHC advisory text
    ZCZC MIATCPEP1 ALL
    TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
     
    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Fausto Advisory Number   6
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP062026
    200 AM PDT Mon Jul 20 2026
     
    ...FAUSTO CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...
     
     
    SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...12.9N 115.6W
    ABOUT 785 MI...1265 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES
     
     
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
     
     
    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fausto was 
    located near latitude 12.9 North, longitude 115.6 West. Fausto is 
    moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this 
    general motion with a gradual turn toward the northwest is expected 
    through Tuesday. The cyclone is forecast to slow somewhat through 
    Wednesday before gradually increasing its forward speed later in the 
    week.
     
    Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with 
    higher gusts. Steady to rapid strengthening is expected during the 
    next couple of days, and Fausto is forecast to become a hurricane 
    tonight.
     
    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
    from the center.
     
    The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches).
     
     
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    None.
     
     
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.
     
    $$
    Forecaster Gibbs (CPHC)
     
    NNNN

    Source: NOAA / NHC

  3. Advisory Timeline #5

    Fausto steadily strengthening.

    Official NHC advisory text
    ZCZC MIATCPEP1 ALL
    TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
     
    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Fausto Advisory Number   5
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP062026
    800 PM MST Sun Jul 19 2026
     
    ...FAUSTO STEADILY STRENGTHENING...
     
     
    SUMMARY OF 800 PM MST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...12.6N 114.7W
    ABOUT 780 MI...1250 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
     
     
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
     
     
    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 800 PM MST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fausto was
    located near latitude 12.6 North, longitude 114.7 West. Fausto is
    moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general 
    motion with a gradual turn toward the west-northwest is expected 
    through Tuesday. The cyclone is forecast to slow somewhat through 
    Wednesday before gradually increasing its forward speed later in the 
    week.
     
    Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
    Steady strengthening followed by a period of rapid intensification 
    is forecast during the next couple of days, and Fausto is forecast 
    to become a hurricane by Monday night.
     
    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
    from the center.
     
    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).
     
     
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    None.
     
     
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 200 AM MST.
     
    $$
    Forecaster Gibbs (CPHC)
     
    NNNN

    Source: NOAA / NHC

  4. Advisory Timeline #4

    Depression strengthens into a tropical storm.

    Official NHC advisory text
    ZCZC MIATCPEP1 ALL
    TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
     
    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Fausto Advisory Number   4
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP062026
    200 PM MST Sun Jul 19 2026
     
    ...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO A TROPICAL STORM...
     
     
    SUMMARY OF 200 PM MST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...12.4N 112.7W
    ABOUT 750 MI...1205 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
     
     
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
     
     
    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 200 PM MST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fausto was
    located near latitude 12.4 North, longitude 112.7 West.  Fausto is
    moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h) and a 
    west-northwestward or northwestward motion at a slightly slower 
    forward speed is expected over the next couple of days.
     
    Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) 
    with higher gusts.  Steady to rapid strengthening is forecast during 
    the next couple of days, and Fausto is forecast to become a 
    hurricane by Monday night.
     
    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
    from the center.
     
    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).
     
     
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    None.
     
     
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 800 PM MST.
     
    $$
    Forecaster Pasch
     
    NNNN

    Source: NOAA / NHC

  5. Advisory Timeline #3

    Tropical Depression Six-E Advisory Number 3

    Official NHC advisory text
    ZCZC MIATCPEP1 ALL
    TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
     
    BULLETIN
    Tropical Depression Six-E Advisory Number   3
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP062026
    800 AM MST Sun Jul 19 2026
     
    ...DEPRESSION LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN SIGNIFICANTLY DURING THE NEXT
    FEW DAYS...
     
     
    SUMMARY OF 800 AM MST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...12.4N 111.7W
    ABOUT 735 MI...1180 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
     
     
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
     
     
    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 800 AM MST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Six-E
    was located near latitude 12.4 North, longitude 111.7 West. The
    depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h)
    and this general motion is expected to continue for the next couple 
    of days.
     
    Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
    Steady to rapid strengthening is forecast during the next few days. 
    The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm later today 
    and become a hurricane by Monday night or Tuesday.
     
    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).
     
     
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    None.
     
     
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 200 PM MST.
     
    $$
    Forecaster Pasch
     
    NNNN

    Source: NOAA / NHC

  6. Advisory Timeline #2

    Tropical Depression Six-E Advisory Number 2

    Official NHC advisory text
    ZCZC MIATCPEP1 ALL
    TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
     
    BULLETIN
    Tropical Depression Six-E Advisory Number   2
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP062026
    200 AM MST Sun Jul 19 2026
     
    ...DEPRESSION FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN INTO A HURRICANE LATER
    THIS WEEK OVER THE OPEN EAST PACIFIC...
     
     
    SUMMARY OF 200 AM MST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...12.1N 110.6W
    ABOUT 745 MI...1200 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
     
     
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
     
     
    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 200 AM MST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Six-E 
    was located near latitude 12.1 North, longitude 110.6 West. The 
    depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h) 
    and this general motion is expected to continue for the next two to 
    three days.
     
    Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher 
    gusts. Steady to rapid strengthening is forecast during the next few 
    days. The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm later 
    today and become a hurricane by Monday night or Tuesday.
     
    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
     
     
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    None.
     
     
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 800 AM MST.
     
    $$
    Forecaster Papin
     
    NNNN

    Source: NOAA / NHC

  7. Advisory Timeline #1

    Forecast to quickly strengthen.

    Official NHC advisory text
    ZCZC MIATCPEP1 ALL
    TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
     
    BULLETIN
    Tropical Depression Six-E Advisory Number   1
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP062026
    800 PM MST Sat Jul 18 2026
     
    ...SIXTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE EAST PACIFIC SEASON FORMS WELL
    SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...
    ...FORECAST TO QUICKLY STRENGTHEN...
     
     
    SUMMARY OF 800 PM MST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...11.3N 109.1W
    ABOUT 805 MI...1290 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
     
     
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
     
     
    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 800 PM MST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Six-E
    was located near latitude 11.3 North, longitude 109.1 West. The
    depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 
    km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 
    two to three days.
    
    Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
    Steady to rapid strengthening is forecast during the next few days. 
    The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm on Sunday and 
    become a hurricane by Monday night or Tuesday.
     
    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).
     
     
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    None.
     
     
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 200 AM MST.
     
    $$
    Forecaster Beven
     
    NNNN

    Source: NOAA / NHC