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Past storm

Hurricane Nolo (Cat 3)

BajaStorms coverage ended

BajaStorms coverage ended for Nolo because it crossed the International Date Line. The last stored official data, including the forecast graphic, is preserved below.

Highest classification reached: Category 4 HurricaneSep 13, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026

Nolo advisory updated:

Source: NOAA / National Hurricane Center (NHC)

Key Facts

Type
Hurricane (Cat 3)
Max sustained wind
115 mph
Min pressure
959 mb
Movement
W 17 mph
Storm center to BCS
3994 mi
Center to Mainland
3935 mi

Track distance between reported center positions is estimated. Center distance does not show how far winds and rain can reach.

Historical Track

NoloHurricaneMax wind115 mph

Map sources: NHC storm track and coneNOAA GFS wind. Visualization by BajaStorms.

Official Graphics

Last preserved official NOAA forecast cone and track for Nolo.
Official NOAA forecast cone and track (last preserved update).NOAA ↗
Interactive GuidanceOct 4, 11:00 AM GMT-7
10°N20°N30°N40°N140°E150°E160°E170°E180°E170°W

Constructed guidance: Not the official NHC forecast

Advisory Timeline

  1. Advisory Timeline #57

    Nolo crossing the international dateline. This is the last advisory from NHC.

    Official NHC advisory text
    ZCZC HFOTCPCP2 ALL
    TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM
     
    BULLETIN
    Hurricane Nolo Advisory Number  57
    NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   EP152026
    Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1100 AM HST Sun Oct 04 2026
     
    ...NOLO CROSSING THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE...
    ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY FROM NHC...
     
     
    SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...24.2N 180.0E
    ABOUT 395 MI...640 KM WSW OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES
     
     
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
     
     
    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nolo was located 
    near latitude 24.2 North, longitude 180.0 West. Nolo is moving 
    toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h), and a general westward motion 
    is expected to continue for the next few days.
     
    Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher 
    gusts.  Nolo is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson 
    Hurricane Wind Scale. Additional strengthening is forecast over the 
    next day or so, before a weakening trend begins around the middle 
    part of the week.
     
    Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
    center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles
    (240 km).
     
    The estimated minimum central pressure is 959 mb (28.32 inches).
     
     
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    SURF: Large swell associated with Nolo will continue to affect the
    Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument over the next few days.
    The surf will likely inundate some of the low-lying atolls from Maro
    Reef to Lisianski Island. Please consult products from your local
    weather office.
     
     
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on 
    this system. Future advisories will be issued by RSMC Tokyo, 
    Japan. Advisories issued by RSMC Tokyo are found on the web at:
    
    www.jma.go.jp/jma/jma-eng/jma-center/rsmc-hp-pub-eg/RSMC_HP.htm 
    
    For U.S.interests, see advisories issued by the Joint Typhoon 
    Warning Center (JTWC) in Honolulu, Hawaii. Advisories issued by JTWC 
    can be found on the web at: 
    
    www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/jtwc.html
     
    $$
    Forecaster Kelly
     
    NNNN

    Source: NOAA / NHC

  2. Advisory Timeline #56

    Nolo strengthens moving quickly westward. Forecast to cross the international dateline within 12 hours.

    Official NHC advisory text
    ZCZC HFOTCPCP2 ALL
    TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM
     
    BULLETIN
    Hurricane Nolo Advisory Number  56
    NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   EP152026
    Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    500 AM HST Sun Oct 04 2026
     
    ...NOLO STRENGTHENS MOVING QUICKLY WESTWARD...
    ...FORECAST TO CROSS THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE WITHIN 12 HOURS...
     
     
    SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...23.8N 178.5W
    ABOUT 325 MI...520 KM WSW OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...963 MB...28.44 INCHES
     
     
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
     
     
    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Nolo was located near 
    latitude 23.8 North, longitude 178.5 West. Nolo is moving toward the 
    west near 18 mph (30 km/h), and a general westward motion is 
    expected to continue for the next few days. Nolo should cross the 
    International Date Line later today in Hawaiian Time.
     
    Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 115 mph (185 km/h) 
    with higher gusts. Nolo is a category 3 hurricane on the 
    Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Additional strengthening is 
    forecast over the next day or so, before a weakening trend 
    begins around the middle part of the week.
     
    Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
    center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles
    (240 km).
     
    The estimated minimum central pressure is 963 mb (28.44 inches).
     
     
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    SURF: Large swell associated with Nolo will continue to affect the
    Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument over the next few days.
    The surf will likely inundate some of the low-lying atolls from Maro
    Reef to Lisianski Island. Please consult products from your local
    weather office.
     
     
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST.
     
    $$
    Forecaster Kelly
     
    NNNN

    Source: NOAA / NHC

  3. Advisory Timeline #55

    Hurricane Nolo Advisory Number 55

    Official NHC advisory text
    ZCZC HFOTCPCP2 ALL
    TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM
     
    BULLETIN
    Hurricane Nolo Advisory Number  55
    NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   EP152026
    Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1100 PM HST Sat Oct 03 2026
     
    ...NOLO CONTINUES QUICKLY WESTWARD AND EXPECTED TO CROSS THE
    INTERNATIONAL DATE LINE ON SUNDAY...
     
     
    SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...23.6N 176.7W
    ABOUT 240 MI...390 KM SW OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
    ABOUT 405 MI...655 KM WSW OF MARO REEF
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...963 MB...28.44 INCHES
     
     
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
     
     
    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nolo was located 
    near latitude 23.6 North, longitude 176.7 West. Nolo is moving 
    toward the west near 18 mph (30 km/h), and a general westward motion 
    is expected to continue for the next few days. Nolo should cross the 
    International Date Line by midday Sunday Hawaiian Time.
     
    Maximum sustained winds are near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher 
    gusts. Nolo is forecast to begin intensifying again over the next 
    day or two, followed by abrupt weakening by the middle of the week. 
     
    Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
    center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles
    (240 km).
     
    The estimated minimum central pressure is 963 mb (28.44 inches).
     
     
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    SURF: Large swell associated with Nolo will continue to affect the
    Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument over the next several
    days. The surf will likely inundate some of the low-lying atolls
    from Maro Reef to Lisianski Island. Please consult products from
    your local weather office.
     
     
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST.
     
    $$
    Forecaster Papin
     
    NNNN

    Source: NOAA / NHC

  4. Advisory Timeline #54

    Nolo racing toward the west.

    Official NHC advisory text
    ZCZC HFOTCPCP2 ALL
    TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM
     
    BULLETIN
    Hurricane Nolo Advisory Number  54
    NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   EP152026
    Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    500 PM HST Sat Oct 03 2026
     
    ...NOLO RACING TOWARD THE WEST...
     
     
    SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...23.4N 175.1W
    ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM SSW OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
    ABOUT 320 MI...510 KM WSW OF MARO REEF
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...957 MB...28.26 INCHES
     
     
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
     
    All Tropical Storm Warnings have been discontinued.
     
    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
     
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
     
     
    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nolo was located
    near latitude 23.4 North, longitude 175.1 West. Nolo is moving
    toward the west near 20 mph (31 km/h), and this motion is expected 
    for the next couple of days.  Nolo should cross the 
    International Date Line by midday Sunday Hawaiian Time.
     
    Maximum sustained winds have weakened to near 115 mph (185 km/h) 
    with higher gusts.  Nolo is a category 3 hurricane on the 
    Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Fluctuations in intensity are 
    should continue for the next couple of days, before a general 
    weakening trend begins on Monday.
     
    Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
    center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles
    (240 km).
     
    The estimated minimum central pressure is 957 mb (28.26 inches).
     
     
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    SURF: Large swell associated with Nolo will continue to affect the
    Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument over the next several
    days. The surf will likely inundate some of the low-lying atolls
    from Maro Reef to Lisianski Island. Please consult products from
    your local weather office.
     
     
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 1100 PM HST.
     
    $$
    Forecaster Katz/Blake
     
    NNNN

    Source: NOAA / NHC

  5. Advisory Timeline #53A

    Nolo moving quickly westward as a major hurricane.

    Official NHC advisory text
    ZCZC HFOTCPCP2 ALL
    TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM
     
    BULLETIN
    Hurricane Nolo Intermediate Advisory Number 53A
    NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   EP152026
    Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM HST Sat Oct 03 2026
    
    ...NOLO MOVING QUICKLY WESTWARD AS A MAJOR HURRICANE...
     
     
    SUMMARY OF 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...23.3N 174.1W
    ABOUT 195 MI...310 KM S OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
    ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM WSW OF MARO REEF
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...957 MB...28.26 INCHES
     
     
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
     
    None.
     
    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
     
    A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
    * The Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument from Maro Reef to
    Lisianski Island
     
    A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
    expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
    next 12 hours.
    
    For storm information specific to your area, including possible
    inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
    local National Weather Service forecast office.
     
     
    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 200 PM HST (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nolo was located 
    near latitude 23.3 North, longitude 174.1 West. Nolo is moving 
    toward the west near 20 mph (31 km/h), and this motion is expected 
    for the next few days. Nolo is expected to continue to move 
    through Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument but remain just 
    south of the Northwestern Hawaiian Islands west of Maro Reef. Nolo 
    should cross the International Date Line by midday Sunday Hawaiian 
    Time. 
     
    Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 120 mph (195 km/h) 
    with higher gusts.  Nolo is a category 3 hurricane on the 
    Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Fluctuations in intensity are 
    expected to persist for the next couple of days, before a general 
    weakening trend begins on Monday.
     
    Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from
    the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150
    miles (240 km).
     
    The estimated minimum central pressure is 957 mb (28.26 inches).
     
     
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue within the Tropical
    Storm Warning area from Maro Reef to Lisianski Island for the next 
    few hours.
     
    SURF: Large waves associated with Nolo will continue to affect the
    Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument over the next several
    days. The surf will likely inundate some of the low-lying atolls
    from Maro Reef to Lisianski Island. Please consult products from
    your local weather office.
     
     
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 500 PM HST.
     
    $$
    Forecaster Katz/Blake
     
    NNNN

    Source: NOAA / NHC