Tropical Storm Simon
No official Baja watch/warningNo official Baja watch or warning is in effect in the current NHC data.
Tropical Storm Simon has maximum sustained winds of 40 mph and is moving WNW at 8 mph. Continued strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Simon is expected to become a hurricane by late Thursday. It could become a major hurricane by Saturday.
Simon advisory updated:
Key Facts
- Type
- Tropical Storm
- Max sustained wind
- 40 mph
- Min pressure
- 1004 mb
- Movement
- WNW 8 mph
- Storm center to BCS
- 738 mi
- Type
- Tropical Storm
- Max sustained wind
- 40 mph
- Min pressure
- 1004 mb
- Movement
- WNW 8 mph
- Storm center to BCS
- 738 mi
Track distance between reported center positions is estimated. Center distance does not show how far winds and rain can reach.
Simon Storm Tracker
Simon | Tropical Storm | Max wind 40 mphSimon | Type Tropical Storm | Max sustained wind 40 mph
DepressionTropical StormHurricaneMajor Hurricane
Map sources: NHC 7-Day OutlookNHC storm track and coneNOAA GFS windNOAA/NESDIS satellite imagery. Visualization by BajaStorms.
Official Graphics
BajaStorms graphicSource: NOAA/NHC ATCF A-deck ↗
Constructed guidance: Not the official NHC forecast
Advisory Timeline
Advisory Timeline #2
Depression becomes tropical storm Simon.
Official NHC advisory text
ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Simon Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202026 300 PM CST Wed Oct 07 2026 ...DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM SIMON... SUMMARY OF 300 PM CST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.5N 101.6W ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM SSE OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO ABOUT 300 MI...485 KM SE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. Watches will likely be required for a portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico tonight. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM CST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Simon was located near latitude 15.5 North, longitude 101.6 West. Simon is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through tomorrow, followed by a turn toward the northwest and north on Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Simon is expected to remain south of Mexico through Friday, but approach the coast of southwestern Mexico on Saturday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Simon is expected to become a hurricane by late Thursday. It could become a major hurricane by Saturday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Simon can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5 and WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC. RAINFALL: Simon is expected to produce rainfall totals of 8 to 12 inches over portions of southwestern Mexico, with isolated maximum totals between 15 and 25 inches possible across portions of Colima and Michoacan through Sunday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Simon, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?rainqpf. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM CST. $$ Forecaster Pasch NNNN
Source: NOAA / NHC
Advisory Timeline #1
New tropical depression forms south of Mexico.
Official NHC advisory text
ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Depression Twenty-E Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202026 900 AM CST Wed Oct 07 2026 ...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS SOUTH OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 900 AM CST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.1N 100.9W ABOUT 285 MI...455 KM SSE OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO ABOUT 405 MI...655 KM SE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM CST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Twenty-E was located near latitude 14.1 North, longitude 100.9 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm by tonight. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM CST. $$ Forecaster Pasch NNNN
Source: NOAA / NHC