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Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E

No official Baja watch/warning

No official Baja watch or warning is in effect in the current NHC data.

Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E has maximum sustained winds of 35 mph and is moving NW at 10 mph. Rapid intensification is forecast during the next 3 days, and the cyclone is expected to become a hurricane by Wednesday night and a major hurricane by Friday.

Twenty-One-E advisory updated:

Source: NOAA / National Hurricane Center (NHC)

Key Facts

Type
Tropical Depression
Max sustained wind
35 mph
Min pressure
1006 mb
Movement
NW 10 mph
Storm center to BCS
1261 mi

Track distance between reported center positions is estimated. Center distance does not show how far winds and rain can reach.

Twenty-One-E Storm Tracker

DepressionTropical StormHurricaneMajor Hurricane

Map sources: NHC 7-Day OutlookNHC storm track and coneNOAA GFS windNOAA/NESDIS satellite imagery. Visualization by BajaStorms.

NHC Forecast ConeGraphic updated: —
Official NHC forecast cone and track for Twenty-One-E; issue time shown in image
Current official NHC forecast cone and track.NHC ↗
Interactive GuidanceOct 13, 5:00 AM GMT-7
5°N10°N15°N20°N25°N110°W105°W100°W95°W90°W

Constructed guidance: Not the official NHC forecast

Advisory Timeline

  1. Advisory Timeline #1

    Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E Advisory Number 1

    Official NHC advisory text
    ZCZC MIATCPEP1 ALL
    TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
     
    BULLETIN
    Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E Advisory Number   1
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP212026
    900 AM CST Tue Oct 13 2026
     
    ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E FORMS OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN
    MEXICO...
    ...FORECAST TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY TO A MAJOR HURRICANE OVER THE NEXT
    FEW DAYS...
     
     
    SUMMARY OF 900 AM CST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...9.8N 96.5W
    ABOUT 540 MI...870 KM SSE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
    ABOUT 820 MI...1320 KM SE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
     
     
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
    
    Interests in southwestern and west-central Mexico should monitor 
    the progress of Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E.
     
     
    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 900 AM CST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression 
    Twenty-One-E was located near latitude 9.8 North, longitude 96.5 
    West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 
    km/h). A motion between west-northwest and northwest should continue 
    through Wednesday night.  A turn toward the north-northwest and a 
    decrease in forward speed is expected on Thursday.
     
    Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
    Rapid intensification is forecast during the next 3 days, and the 
    cyclone is expected to become a hurricane by Wednesday night and a 
    major hurricane by Friday.
    
    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).
     
     
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    SURF: Swells generated by Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E are 
    expected to begin affecting portions of the coast of southern Mexico 
    late this week.  These swells are likely to cause life-threatening 
    surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult products from your 
    local weather office.
     
     
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 300 PM CST.
     
    $$
    Forecaster Hagen
     
    NNNN

    Source: NOAA / NHC