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2 active official SMN weather alerts

SMN severity: Moderate

SMN Tropical Cyclone Alert

Mainland Mexico

Affected areas: Jalisco, Nayarit, Sinaloa

Expected conditions

  • Winds of 19-25 mph: Jalisco coasts
  • Gusts of 37-43 mph: Jalisco coasts
  • Waves of 9.8-13.1 ft: Jalisco coasts
  • Winds of 12-19 mph: Nayarit and southern Sinaloa coasts
  • Gusts of 25-31 mph: Nayarit and southern Sinaloa coasts
  • Waves of 6.6-9.8 ft: Nayarit and southern Sinaloa coasts

Jalisco coasts: decreasing during the day. Read the official bulletin for full details.


The map shows official SMN warning areas. Areas may overlap.

Map colors show SMN severity: red Extreme, orange Severe, yellow Moderate. Select an area or letter to read the warning details.

SMN severity: Moderate

SMN Rainfall Warning

Mainland Mexico

Map Area: Jalisco, Nayarit, Sinaloa

Expected conditions

  • Isolated very heavy rainfall totaling 2.0–3.0 in
View warning areas

Official SMN alerts relayed by BajaStorms. Map areas are generalized: conditions can vary, and nearby places outside the outlines may also be affected. Follow official guidance.

Official statusHurricane Warning · Mainland Mexico

Monitoring Hurricane Simon (Category 2)

Hurricane Warning · Mainland Mexico in effect. Official status for Las Islas Marias.

Hurricane Simon has maximum sustained winds of 100 mph and is moving WNW at 3 mph.

Hurricane · Cat 2 Simon is tracked separately. The current NHC outlook is monitoring 1 other area for possible development. That area's formation chances are 100% through 48 hours and 100% through seven days.

NHC outlook updated:

BCS Storm Tracker

Trop. Depr.Tropical StormHurricaneMajor Hurr.Post Tropical
HurricaneWatchHurricaneWarningTropical StormWatchTropical StormWarning

Map sources: NHC 7-Day OutlookNHC storm track and coneNOAA GFS wind and pressureNOAA/NESDIS satellite imagery. Visualization by BajaStorms.

Hurricane Warning · Mainland Mexico

Hurricane Simon (Cat 2)

100mphSteady

Max sustained winds

Official Warnings

  • Hurricane WarningMainland Mexico · Las Islas Marias

Official Watches

  • Hurricane WatchMainland Mexico · Cabo Corrientes to Bahia Tempehuaya
Movement
WNW 3 mph
Min pressure
969 mb

Storm center distance to BCS

Current
258 mi
Closest observed
10/12/26 · 258 mi
Closest forecast
10/15/26 · 148 mi

Track distance between reported center positions is estimated. Center distance does not show how far winds and rain can reach.

Simon advisory:

View details →
Simon is currently a Category 2 hurricane. Understand storm classifications.
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What changed since the last update

Situation steady

Simon held steady at 100 mph.

Official Cone & Model Guidance

Simon tracking

NHC Forecast ConeGraphic updated: —
Official NHC forecast cone and track for Simon; issue time shown in image
Current official NHC forecast cone and track.NHC ↗
Interactive GuidanceOct 12, 5:00 PM GMT-7
15°N20°N25°N30°N115°W110°W105°W

Constructed guidance: Not the official NHC forecast

Local Monitoring

Baja California Sur

Cabo San Lucas

Tap for details
Official monitoring
79°Overcast92° · 75°

Monitoring Hurricane Simon.

Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Simon, about 263 mi from here (position at Oct 12, 5:00 PM GMT-7). Center distance does not describe local hazards.

BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.

San José del Cabo

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Official monitoring
79°Overcast92° · 75°

Monitoring Hurricane Simon.

Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Simon, about 262 mi from here (position at Oct 12, 5:00 PM GMT-7). Center distance does not describe local hazards.

BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.

Todos Santos

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Official monitoring
78°Overcast88° · 74°

Monitoring Hurricane Simon.

Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Simon, about 304 mi from here (position at Oct 12, 5:00 PM GMT-7). Center distance does not describe local hazards.

BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.

La Paz

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Official monitoring
85°Overcast96° · 74°

Monitoring Hurricane Simon.

Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Simon, about 344 mi from here (position at Oct 12, 5:00 PM GMT-7). Center distance does not describe local hazards.

BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.

East CapeLos Barriles

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Official monitoring
83°Overcast92° · 76°

Monitoring Hurricane Simon.

Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Simon, about 295 mi from here (position at Oct 12, 5:00 PM GMT-7). Center distance does not describe local hazards.

BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.

Loreto

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Official monitoring
84°Clear sky92° · 74°

Monitoring Hurricane Simon.

Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Simon, about 485 mi from here (position at Oct 12, 5:00 PM GMT-7). Center distance does not describe local hazards.

BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.

Show 6 more cities

MulegéBahía Concepción

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Official monitoring
82°Clear sky92° · 72°

Monitoring Hurricane Simon.

Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Simon, about 557 mi from here (position at Oct 12, 5:00 PM GMT-7). Center distance does not describe local hazards.

BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.

Santa Rosalía

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Official monitoring
82°Overcast91° · 73°

Monitoring Hurricane Simon.

Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Simon, about 593 mi from here (position at Oct 12, 5:00 PM GMT-7). Center distance does not describe local hazards.

BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.

Ciudad Constitución

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Official monitoring
81°Clear sky93° · 69°

Monitoring Hurricane Simon.

Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Simon, about 446 mi from here (position at Oct 12, 5:00 PM GMT-7). Center distance does not describe local hazards.

BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.

Magdalena BayPuerto San Carlos

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Official monitoring
79°Clear sky86° · 72°

Monitoring Hurricane Simon.

Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Simon, about 454 mi from here (position at Oct 12, 5:00 PM GMT-7). Center distance does not describe local hazards.

BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.

Bahía TortugasPacific Northwest

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Official monitoring
75°Mainly clear80° · 69°

Monitoring Hurricane Simon.

Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Simon, about 718 mi from here (position at Oct 12, 5:00 PM GMT-7). Center distance does not describe local hazards.

BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.

Guerrero Negro

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Official monitoring
73°Clear sky80° · 67°

Monitoring Hurricane Simon.

Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Simon, about 695 mi from here (position at Oct 12, 5:00 PM GMT-7). Center distance does not describe local hazards.

BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.

Mainland Mexico

New

Now covering 12 cities in mainland Mexico’s coastal region.

Show 9 more cities

Zihuatanejo

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Official monitoring
80°Partly cloudy88° · 77°

Monitoring Hurricane Simon.

Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Simon, about 395 mi from here (position at Oct 12, 6:00 PM CST). Center distance does not describe local hazards.

BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.

Lázaro Cárdenas

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Official monitoring
82°Partly cloudy90° · 75°

Monitoring Hurricane Simon.

Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Simon, about 347 mi from here (position at Oct 12, 6:00 PM CST). Center distance does not describe local hazards.

BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.

Manzanillo

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Municipal alert
81°Partly cloudy86° · 74°

Monitoring Hurricane Simon.

Protección Civil lists Manzanillo municipality at Blue — very low danger, with Simon moving away (bulletin 10/12/2026, 12:00 horas). This does not cancel NHC coastal warnings.

Puerto Vallarta

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Municipal alert
80°Mainly clear86° · 77°

Monitoring Hurricane Simon.

Protección Civil lists Puerto Vallarta municipality at Yellow — moderate danger, with Simon moving away (bulletin 10/12/2026, 12:00 horas). This does not cancel NHC coastal warnings.

San Blas

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Municipal alert
77°Partly cloudy88° · 77°

Monitoring Hurricane Simon.

Protección Civil lists San Blas municipality at Yellow — moderate danger, with Simon approaching (bulletin 10/12/2026, 12:00 horas). This does not cancel NHC coastal warnings.

Mazatlán

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Municipal alert
87°Partly cloudy92° · 81°

Monitoring Hurricane Simon.

Protección Civil lists Mazatlán municipality at Yellow — moderate danger, with Simon approaching (bulletin 10/12/2026, 12:00 horas). This does not cancel NHC coastal warnings.

Culiacán

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Municipal alert
88°Clear sky100° · 78°

Monitoring Hurricane Simon.

Protección Civil lists Culiacán municipality at Green — low danger, with Simon approaching (bulletin 10/12/2026, 12:00 horas). This does not cancel NHC coastal warnings.

Los Mochis

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Official monitoring
86°Clear sky97° · 76°

Monitoring Hurricane Simon.

Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Simon, about 402 mi from here (position at Oct 12, 5:00 PM GMT-7). Center distance does not describe local hazards.

BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.

Ciudad Obregón

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Official monitoring
85°Clear sky94° · 75°

Monitoring Hurricane Simon.

Nearest NHC/CPHC storm center: Simon, about 533 mi from here (position at Oct 12, 5:00 PM GMT-7). Center distance does not describe local hazards.

BajaStorms is monitoring official advisories for this area. Always verify NHC, SMN, and Protección Civil guidance.

BajaStorms organizes official storm, watch, and warning information. It does not issue independent weather warnings.

Weather by Open-Meteo and MET Norway

Satellite & Storm Maps

Latest satelliteSource ↗
NOAA GOES-19 · GeoColor - Baja California / Eastern Pacific
NOAA GOES-19 · GeoColorUpdates ~every 10 min

Latest satellite: Shows cloud structure across Baja and the Eastern Pacific. Use the loop to watch systems organize, weaken, or move closer to the region.

InfraredSource ↗
NOAA GOES-19 · Infrared - Baja California / Eastern Pacific
NOAA GOES-19 · InfraredUpdates ~every 10 min

Infrared: Highlights the coldest cloud tops, which mark the strongest thunderstorms. Use the loop to see where storms build or weaken over recent hours.

Full Pacific GeoColorSource ↗
NOAA GOES-19 · Full Pacific GeoColor - Baja California / Eastern Pacific
NOAA GOES-19 · Full Pacific GeoColorUpdates ~every 10 min

Full Pacific GeoColor: Covers the wider eastern Pacific so distant tropical systems remain visible before they enter the tighter Baja sector.

Full Pacific storm topsSource ↗
NOAA GOES-19 · Full Pacific storm tops - Baja California / Eastern Pacific
NOAA GOES-19 · Full Pacific storm topsUpdates ~every 10 min

Full Pacific storm tops: Combines visible and infrared detail across the full Pacific sector, making deep convection easier to spot far west of Baja.

Tropical Weather Outlook and Discussion

7-Day Tropical OutlookSource ↗
NOAA NHCUpdates every 6 hours
2-Day Tropical OutlookSource ↗
NOAA NHCUpdates every 6 hours
Tropical Weather Outlook
Tropical Weather Discussion

The National Hurricane Center's full technical discussion of conditions across the eastern Pacific - tropical waves, convection, and any systems being watched. Issued several times daily.

Sea Surface Temperature (SST)

Mexico & surrounding watersSource ↗
CICESE-UALPImage dated Jul 15, 2026

Warm water is the fuel for tropical storms. Hurricanes generally need sea-surface temperatures of at least 26.5 °C (80 °F) to form and strengthen.

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A quick note: BajaStorms is an independent information service, not an official weather or emergency agency. For official guidance during a storm, follow Protección Civil, SMN/CONAGUA, the NHC, and your local authorities.