Tropical Storm Elida
No official Baja watch/warningTropical Storm Elida is being monitored in the Eastern Pacific.
Elida advisory updated:
Key Facts
- Type
- Tropical Storm
- Max sustained wind
- 64 mph
- Min pressure
- 994 mb
- Movement
- WNW 10 mph
- Distance to Baja
- 787 mi
- Type
- Tropical Storm
- Max sustained wind
- 64 mph
- Min pressure
- 994 mb
- Movement
- WNW 10 mph
- Distance to Baja
- 787 mi
Forecast Track
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Elida | Tropical Storm | Max wind 64 mphElida | Type Tropical Storm | Max sustained wind 64 mph
DepressionTropical stormHurricaneMajor hurricane
Tracking constructed by BajaStorms using data from NOAA / National Hurricane Center (NHC).
Official Graphics
GFSGFS ensemble meanHAFS-AHAFS-BHMONHCCA consensus
BajaStorms graphicSource: NOAA/NHC ATCF A-deck ↗
Constructed guidance: Not the official NHC forecast
Advisory Timeline
Advisory Timeline #12
Elida still has not shown much change in intensity.
Official NHC advisory text
ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Elida Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052026 800 AM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 ...ELIDA STILL HAS NOT SHOWN MUCH CHANGE IN INTENSITY... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.8N 120.8W ABOUT 825 MI...1325 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Elida was located near latitude 16.8 North, longitude 120.8 West. Elida is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A turn toward the northwest is expected later today, followed by a north-northwestward motion at a slightly faster forward speed by Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is possible, and Elida could still become a hurricane within the next day. Weakening is expected to start over the weekend and continue into early next week. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Elida will affect portions of the west coast of the Baja California peninsula through this weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Katz/Cangialosi NNNN
Source: NOAA / NHC
Advisory Timeline #11
Tropical Storm Elida Advisory Number 11
Official NHC advisory text
ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Elida Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052026 200 AM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 ...ELIDA CHANGES LITTLE IN INTENSITY BUT STILL FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.1N 120.2W ABOUT 820 MI...1315 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Elida was located near latitude 16.1 North, longitude 120.2 West. Elida is moving toward the west near 10 mph (17 km/h). A turn toward the west-northwest and northwest is expected later today, followed by a north-northwestward motion at a slightly faster forward speed by Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next day or so, and Elida could become a hurricane later today. Weakening is expected to begin over the weekend and continue into early next week. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Elida will affect portions of the west coast of the Baja California peninsula through this weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Berg NNNN
Source: NOAA / NHC
Advisory Timeline #10
Elida forecast to become a hurricane on Friday.
Official NHC advisory text
ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Elida Advisory Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052026 800 PM PDT Thu Jul 16 2026 ...ELIDA FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON FRIDAY... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.9N 119.1W ABOUT 770 MI...1240 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Elida was located near latitude 15.9 North, longitude 119.1 West. Elida is moving toward the west near 10 mph (17 km/h). A turn toward the west-northwest is expected tonight and Friday, followed by a northwestward motion through the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next day or so, and Elida is expected to become a hurricane on Friday. Weakening is forecast to begin later this weekend and continue through early next week. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Elida will affect portions of the west coast of Baja California through this weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Reinhart NNNN
Source: NOAA / NHC
Advisory Timeline #9
Elida strengthens a little. Expected to turn northwestward tonight and Friday.
Official NHC advisory text
ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Elida Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052026 200 PM PDT Thu Jul 16 2026 ...ELIDA STRENGTHENS A LITTLE... ...EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWESTWARD TONIGHT AND FRIDAY... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.8N 118.3W ABOUT 735 MI...1180 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Elida was located near latitude 15.8 North, longitude 118.3 West. Elida is moving toward the west near 10 mph (17 km/h). A turn toward the west-northwest is expected tonight, followed by a northwestward motion beginning Friday and continuing through the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are now near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Elida is expected to become a hurricane on Friday before reaching its peak intensity Friday night or Saturday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Beven NNNN
Source: NOAA / NHC
Advisory Timeline #8
Elida still moving westward with little change in strength.
Official NHC advisory text
ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Elida Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052026 800 AM PDT Thu Jul 16 2026 ...ELIDA STILL MOVING WESTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.7N 117.4W ABOUT 695 MI...1120 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Elida was located near latitude 15.7 North, longitude 117.4 West. Elida is moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h). A turn toward the west-northwest is expected tonight, followed by a northwestward motion beginning Friday and continuing through the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Elida is expected to become a hurricane late tonight or on Friday before reaching its peak intensity Friday night or Saturday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Beven NNNN
Source: NOAA / NHC
Advisory Timeline #7
Elida holding steady as it continues westward.
Official NHC advisory text
ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Elida Advisory Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052026 200 AM PDT Thu Jul 16 2026 ...ELIDA HOLDING STEADY AS IT CONTINUES WESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.6N 116.5W ABOUT 660 MI...1065 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Elida was located near latitude 15.6 North, longitude 116.5 West. Elida is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the west-northwest is expected Thursday night, followed by a northwestward motion beginning Friday and continuing through the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Elida is expected to become a hurricane Thursday night or early Friday before reaching its peak intensity on Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Gibbs (CPHC) NNNN
Source: NOAA / NHC
Advisory Timeline #6
Elida continues to strengthen.
Official NHC advisory text
ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Elida Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052026 800 PM PDT Wed Jul 15 2026 ...ELIDA CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.4N 115.2W ABOUT 620 MI...1000 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Elida was located near latitude 15.4 North, longitude 115.2 West. Elida is moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h). A turn toward the west-northwest is expected on Thursday, followed by a northwestward motion beginning on Friday and continuing through the weekend. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected during the next couple of days, and Elida could become a hurricane by Thursday night or early Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) mainly to the east of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Reinhart NNNN
Source: NOAA / NHC
Advisory Timeline #5
Elida strengthens a little more.
Official NHC advisory text
ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Elida Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052026 200 PM MST Wed Jul 15 2026 ...ELIDA STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE... SUMMARY OF 200 PM MST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.7N 114.6W ABOUT 585 MI...940 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM MST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Elida was located near latitude 15.7 North, longitude 114.6 West. Elida is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today followed by a gradual turn to the west-northwest and northwest over the next few days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast over the next day or so followed by a somewhat faster rate of intensification. Elida is forecast to become a hurricane on Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM MST. $$ Forecaster Katz/Papin NNNN
Source: NOAA / NHC
Advisory Timeline #4
Elida a little stronger as it moves over the open east Pacific.
Official NHC advisory text
ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Elida Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052026 800 AM MST Wed Jul 15 2026 ...ELIDA A LITTLE STRONGER AS IT MOVES OVER THE OPEN EAST PACIFIC... SUMMARY OF 800 AM MST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.4N 113.5W ABOUT 570 MI...915 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM MST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Elida was located near latitude 15.4 North, longitude 113.5 West. Elida is moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today followed by a gradual turn to the west-northwest and northwest over the next few days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast over the next day or so followed by a somewhat faster rate of intensification. Elida is forecast to become a hurricane on Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM MST. $$ Forecaster Papin/Katz NNNN
Source: NOAA / NHC
Advisory Timeline #3
Depression strengthens to tropical storm Elida.
Official NHC advisory text
ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Elida Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052026 200 AM MST Wed Jul 15 2026 ...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS TO TROPICAL STORM ELIDA... SUMMARY OF 200 AM MST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.9N 111.8W ABOUT 565 MI...910 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM MST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Elida was located near latitude 14.9 North, longitude 111.8 West. Elida is moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue over the next day or so. A turn toward the northwest at a slower speed is expected by Thursday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Steady strengthening is expected over the next few days, and Elida is forecast to become a hurricane by Thursday night and reach its peak intensity on Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM MST. $$ Forecaster Gibbs (CPHC) NNNN
Source: NOAA / NHC